Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 27.070004 31.220497 35.703697 40.894877 46.728484 53.069501 60.471339
2025-01-19 18.847343 24.325296 30.818579 39.028424 49.071957 60.895234 75.797643
2025-01-26 15.811942 22.258863 30.460576 41.530984 55.935515 73.881038 97.742721
2025-02-02 14.221458 21.494379 31.291585 45.220500 64.238444 88.985429 123.250845
2025-02-09 12.099639 19.544297 30.118193 45.880270 68.352428 98.744380 142.346067
2025-02-16 10.260759 17.640044 28.649421 45.787875 71.196280 106.763649 159.415799
2025-02-23 8.706296 15.884791 27.104162 45.290442 73.241101 113.615399 175.100759
2025-03-02 7.500978 14.479067 25.871842 45.045347 75.503158 120.772017 191.492921
2025-03-09 6.497541 13.243907 24.728594 44.755807 77.569946 127.649798 207.747776
2025-03-16 5.273796 11.410827 22.343777 42.150440 75.688675 128.321503 214.597454
2025-03-23 4.845506 10.988561 22.327219 43.483146 80.218847 139.102468 237.428990
2025-03-30 4.597160 10.876338 22.839810 45.752514 86.429437 152.847691 265.556170
2025-04-06 3.909936 9.797965 21.505920 44.724644 87.169698 158.178990 281.238128
2025-04-13 3.206261 8.560845 19.716821 42.689484 86.020031 160.401475 292.189478
2025-04-20 3.068801 8.565578 20.394423 45.390031 93.550830 177.674068 328.954012
2025-04-27 3.052150 8.849639 21.674335 49.372659 103.704111 199.994610 375.309331
2025-05-04 2.756632 8.400603 21.340470 50.084471 107.771360 211.914930 404.518774
2025-05-11 2.437034 7.826265 20.652399 49.984749 110.250820 221.120592 429.447680
2025-05-18 2.130382 7.220807 19.806518 49.447967 111.800013 228.681945 451.793329
2025-05-25 1.880214 6.717293 19.125480 49.183465 113.842302 237.217447 476.236420
2025-06-01 1.658876 6.247856 18.458764 48.870980 115.738826 245.547881 500.660283
2025-06-08 1.346589 5.422935 16.780102 46.058218 112.191870 243.314919 505.547104
2025-06-15 1.262498 5.308243 16.915475 47.497224 117.753596 258.896558 544.242362